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Red69
756736.2
961112.0
930212.2
Blue73
115632.5
948424.6
1034321.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56692040801006973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
8Coral scored#10
27Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
37Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points6
69Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.8
22.423.2
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End2.5
red by 3.6
1156
#19
32.50.1
27.527.6
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End2.7
Second
9302
#52
12.20.8
12.613.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End0.7
blue by 12.5
24.60.1
17.817.9
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End2.7
Third
9611
#46
12.00.8
15.716.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
blue by 9.3
21.30.1
15.115.2
Auto3.2
Teleop15.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed