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Red59
960316.6
960416.6
904723.3
Blue58
756532.7
916315.8
908520.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646202040801001201401605958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+31
Endgame+31
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +28
1Coral scored#6
5Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
5Total teleop33
Reef
0L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
42Foul points10
59Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9047
#11
23.34.4
14.710.3
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End0.6
blue by 9.4
32.70.8
23.422.6
Auto5.8
Teleop21.6
End5.2
Second
9604
#36
16.64.4
21.517.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.7
End1.1
blue by 3.6
9085
#43
20.20.8
19.118.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End1.8
Third
9603
#38
16.64.4
20.516.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End2.0
red by 0.8
9163
#29
15.80.8
13.112.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed