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Red25
80666.4
948728.2
920014.7
Blue14
580019.5
921812.9
640410.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585002040801002514

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
+13Endgame
+11Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
3Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
10Total teleop3
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#2
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points2
25Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9487
#15
28.22.8
18.315.5
Auto3.7
Teleop24.1
End0.3
red by 8.6
5800
#20
19.53.7
19.616.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Second
9200
#40
14.72.8
18.315.5
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End2.1
red by 1.8
9218
#37
12.93.7
9.96.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Third
8066
#32
6.42.8
13.510.7
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
blue by 3.6
6404
#58
10.03.7
15.611.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed