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Red67
948614.1
905020.9
916918.1
Blue74
888229.7
965712.0
961718.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655002040801001206774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+27
Endgame+17
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
4Coral scored#9
13Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
23Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
24Foul points14
67Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9050
#13
20.91.7
22.020.3
Auto3.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
blue by 8.8
29.71.3
23.725.0
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End4.0
Second
9169
#48
18.11.7
15.113.4
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End6.5
blue by 0.1
9617
#30
18.21.3
8.710.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.1
End1.4
Third
9486
#33
14.11.7
18.516.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End2.4
red by 2.1
9657
#26
12.01.3
12.714.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed