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Red81
1001925.2
1020014.5
961112.0
Blue45
919513.5
911017.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6341020801001208145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+38Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
11Coral scored#4
40Coral points16
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
68Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
81Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10019
#21Sur
25.21.8
19.321.1
Auto4.6
Teleop19.2
End1.4
red by 7.9
9110
#24
17.21.0
18.417.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Second
14.51.8
15.717.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End1.5
red by 1.0
9195
#35Sur
13.51.0
11.010.0
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End1.5
Third
9611
#46
12.01.8
16.518.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
red by 5.2
6.81.0
9.38.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed