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Qual 222025 Regional Brazil - Brasilia
Red46
946123.6
17729.3
946019.1
Blue49
904615.9
90499.4
904723.3
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6538020801001201404649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
6Coral scored#10
22Coral points36
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
36Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
46Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9461
#25
23.61.7
20.3→18.7
Auto4.2
Teleop15.2
End4.1
red by 0.3
9047
#11
23.30.6
10.3→10.9
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End0.6
Second
9460
#34
19.11.7
18.7→17.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.7
End1.7
red by 3.2
9046
#39
15.90.6
13.9→14.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.8
End2.4
Third
1772
#59
9.31.7
14.1→12.4
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End2.1
blue by 0.1
9049
#44
9.40.6
10.2→10.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed