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Red54
945834.6
916315.8
916413.4
Blue91
756736.2
703326.4
1046626.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66703040506080901005491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+17
Endgame+31
Fouls+37
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
34Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
4Cage & park18
4Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points6
54Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.4
27.427.0
Auto6.5
Teleop25.4
End2.7
blue by 1.6
36.22.9
23.226.1
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End2.5
Second
9163
#29
15.80.4
12.211.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End2.6
blue by 11.1
26.92.9
21.124.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.5
End6.7
Third
9164
#50
13.40.4
17.917.5
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End1.9
blue by 13.0
7033
#12
26.42.9
14.417.3
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned