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Red75
948524.9
921919.1
916216.0
Blue44
921812.9
96149.0
917819.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions783202040601001201407544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+27Teleop
+29Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +24
14Coral scored#8
50Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
60Total teleop36
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
2Foul points0
75Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9485
#27
24.91.0
23.222.2
Auto2.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
red by 5.8
9178
#17
19.20.5
19.118.5
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Second
9219
#18
19.11.0
24.023.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End1.2
red by 6.2
9218
#37
12.90.5
6.25.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Third
9162
#14
16.01.0
17.716.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End1.3
red by 7.0
9614
#45
9.00.5
8.78.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed