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Red51
908520.2
96753.4
1035619.7
Blue70
888229.7
80666.4
1019019.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4255020801001205170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+21
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +15
8Coral scored#11
27Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
41Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#6
1L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
51Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9085
#43
20.21.4
18.219.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End1.8
blue by 9.5
29.72.4
25.027.5
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End4.0
Second
19.71.4
14.515.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 0.6
19.12.4
12.314.7
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End1.6
Third
9675
#56
3.41.4
5.77.1
Auto2.6
Teleop0.6
End0.2
blue by 3.0
8066
#32
6.42.4
10.713.2
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed