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Red58
640410.0
916216.0
756532.7
Blue36
1035619.7
1046626.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5758203040507080905836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+30Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +26
8Coral scored#3
30Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
36Total teleop10
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
58Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.3
23.223.6
Auto5.8
Teleop21.6
End5.2
red by 5.8
26.91.7
24.022.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.5
End6.7
Second
9162
#14
16.00.3
16.817.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End1.3
blue by 3.8
19.71.7
15.914.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
6404
#58
10.00.3
12.012.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End0.5
red by 3.1
6.81.7
8.46.7
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned