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Red115
945834.6
948424.6
186031.6
Blue29
80666.4
948614.1
1020014.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8548020406010012014011529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+42Teleop
+40Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
11Coral scored#2
39Coral points8
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
49Total teleop14
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
46Foul points0
115Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.5
27.026.6
Auto6.5
Teleop25.4
End2.7
red by 20.1
14.51.8
17.615.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End1.5
Second
31.60.5
24.323.9
Auto5.9
Teleop22.4
End3.3
red by 17.5
9486
#33
14.11.8
14.112.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Third
24.60.5
21.721.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End2.7
red by 18.2
8066
#32
6.41.8
13.211.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed