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Red58
96149.0
919936.0
580019.5
Blue44
745914.6
115632.5
960416.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616501001502002503005844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +8
5Coral scored#4
17Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
27Total teleop19
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points2
58Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.1
27.127.0
Auto10.0
Teleop22.3
End3.7
red by 3.5
1156
#19
32.51.7
29.527.8
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End2.7
Second
5800
#20
19.50.1
17.917.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End3.0
red by 2.9
9604
#36
16.61.7
13.912.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.7
End1.1
Third
9614
#45
9.00.1
8.18.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End2.0
blue by 5.6
7459
#28
14.61.7
13.611.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed