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Red109
916918.1
1019019.1
703326.4
Blue57
920014.7
1034321.3
90489.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544602040608010010957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+24Teleop
+44Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
57Total teleop41
Reef
7L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#13
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
8Foul points0
109Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7033
#12
26.44.8
17.322.1
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End5.7
red by 5.2
21.30.3
12.312.6
Auto3.2
Teleop15.0
End3.0
Second
19.14.8
14.719.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End1.6
red by 4.4
9200
#40
14.70.3
15.415.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Third
9169
#48
18.14.8
13.418.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End6.5
red by 8.7
9048
#57
9.30.3
11.912.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed