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Red31
916315.8
917819.2
90499.4
Blue64
945931.9
80666.4
186031.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4676020601001201403164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+31
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +28
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
20Total teleop48
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
31Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9178
#17
19.22.3
17.615.3
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End1.5
blue by 12.7
9459
#10
31.91.0
29.828.8
Auto6.6
Teleop23.2
End2.0
Second
9163
#29
15.82.3
13.711.4
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End2.6
blue by 15.9
31.61.0
23.922.9
Auto5.9
Teleop22.4
End3.3
Third
9049
#44
9.42.3
11.79.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End-0.2
red by 3.1
8066
#32
6.41.0
11.410.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed