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Red75
930212.2
1001925.2
919936.0
Blue112
756532.7
948524.9
1046626.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7078020406010012014075112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+31
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +35
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
39Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
14Foul points14
75Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.1
27.026.9
Auto10.0
Teleop22.3
End3.7
red by 3.3
32.73.2
23.626.8
Auto5.8
Teleop21.6
End5.2
Second
25.20.1
21.020.9
Auto4.6
Teleop19.2
End1.4
blue by 1.7
26.93.2
22.425.6
Auto4.7
Teleop15.5
End6.7
Third
9302
#52
12.20.1
14.114.0
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End0.7
blue by 12.8
9485
#27
24.93.2
23.126.3
Auto2.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed