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Red40
916413.4
911017.2
93059.7
Blue61
946019.1
580019.5
905020.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556101001504061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+17
Endgame+15
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +11
7Coral scored#7
24Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
28Total teleop39
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points6
40Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9110
#24
17.20.9
17.716.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End2.1
blue by 3.7
9050
#13
20.90.6
16.016.5
Auto3.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Second
9164
#50
13.40.9
17.816.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End1.9
blue by 6.1
5800
#20
19.50.6
17.818.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Third
9305
#53
9.70.9
12.711.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.1
blue by 9.4
9460
#34
19.10.6
16.116.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed