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Red75
745914.6
961112.0
888229.7
Blue53
703326.4
90458.2
917511.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69500204060801001207553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+32Teleop
+30Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +26
10Coral scored#5
35Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
49Total teleop23
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points8
75Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.71.3
30.932.2
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End4.0
red by 3.2
7033
#12
26.40.5
22.121.6
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End5.7
Second
7459
#28
14.61.3
11.913.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End3.0
red by 2.7
9175
#51
11.90.5
13.613.1
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Third
9611
#46
12.01.3
14.916.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
red by 3.8
9045
#55
8.20.5
8.58.0
Auto1.9
Teleop4.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned