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Red20
965712.0
703326.4
919513.5
Blue52
919936.0
1035619.7
916216.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5765203040507080901002052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+30
Endgame+38
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
1Coral scored#5
5Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
5Total teleop29
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#1
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
6Foul points0
20Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7033
#12
26.44.1
17.613.5
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End5.7
blue by 9.6
36.00.4
21.120.6
Auto10.0
Teleop22.3
End3.7
Second
9195
#35
13.54.1
16.312.2
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End1.5
blue by 6.3
19.72.4
19.717.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
9657
#26
12.04.1
16.812.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End2.0
blue by 4.0
9162
#14
16.00.4
17.116.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned