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Red14
96149.0
916413.4
90489.3
Blue56
186031.6
917511.9
960316.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5982020401001201401456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+32
Endgame+34
Fouls+42
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +32
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points24
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
0Total teleop32
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
4Foul points12
14Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9164
#50
13.44.8
20.115.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End1.9
blue by 18.3
31.62.9
25.522.7
Auto5.9
Teleop22.4
End3.3
Second
9048
#57
9.34.8
18.613.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End1.5
blue by 7.3
9603
#38
16.62.9
23.420.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End2.0
Third
9614
#45
9.04.8
14.79.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End2.0
blue by 2.9
9175
#51
11.92.9
21.018.1
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed