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Red53
827610.9
919936.0
Blue67
908520.2
756736.2
921812.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476102040801001205367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
5Coral scored#8
19Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
33Total teleop38
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
53Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.01.0
26.927.9
Auto10.0
Teleop22.3
End3.7
blue by 0.2
36.21.7
27.929.5
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End2.5
Second
8276
#54
10.91.0
11.112.1
Auto2.3
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 9.3
9085
#43
20.21.7
18.119.8
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End1.8
Third
6.81.0
5.76.7
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End2.1
blue by 6.0
9218
#37
12.91.7
6.17.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed