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Red100
115632.5
1035619.7
921919.1
Blue62
948524.9
904615.9
945931.9
29%Model gave it71%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728540608010012014010062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+30Teleop
+32Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
71Total teleop51
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
6Foul points0
100Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#19
32.53.4
29.833.2
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End2.7
red by 0.7
9459
#10
31.91.0
28.827.8
Auto6.6
Teleop23.2
End2.0
Second
19.73.4
13.617.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 5.2
9485
#27
24.91.0
26.325.3
Auto2.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
Third
9219
#18
19.13.4
19.723.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End1.2
red by 3.2
9046
#39
15.91.0
15.914.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed