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Red70
948728.2
960416.6
90458.2
Blue56
17729.3
945834.6
90489.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4258020801007056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +3
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
38Total teleop41
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
24Foul points0
70Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9487
#15
28.20.8
20.921.7
Auto3.7
Teleop24.1
End0.3
blue by 6.4
34.60.7
28.529.2
Auto6.5
Teleop25.4
End2.7
Second
9604
#36
16.60.8
10.010.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.7
End1.1
red by 7.3
1772
#59
9.30.7
10.110.8
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Third
9045
#55
8.20.8
8.08.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.8
End1.5
blue by 1.1
9048
#57
9.30.7
11.111.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed