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Red43
1046626.9
93059.7
1034511.7
Blue39
917511.9
916918.1
96149.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534202060801004339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+8Teleop
+2Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
4Coral scored#3
14Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
18Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
2Foul points0
43Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.91.0
25.624.6
Auto4.7
Teleop15.5
End6.7
red by 8.8
9169
#48
18.10.2
17.617.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End6.5
Second
11.71.0
12.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End0.6
blue by 0.3
9175
#51
11.90.2
13.112.9
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Third
9305
#53
9.71.0
11.810.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.1
red by 0.7
9614
#45
9.00.2
9.79.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned