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Red46
916617.9
580019.5
906612.5
Blue93
905020.9
904723.3
703326.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4562020801001204693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+55
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +58
4Coral scored#17
16Coral points60
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
20Total teleop78
Reef
2L4#9
1L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
46Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5800
#20
19.50.4
18.317.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End3.0
blue by 6.9
7033
#12
26.43.9
21.625.5
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End5.7
Second
9166
#16
17.90.4
13.613.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End3.0
blue by 5.4
9047
#11
23.33.9
14.918.8
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End0.6
Third
9066
#47
12.50.4
12.011.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 8.4
9050
#13
20.93.9
16.520.4
Auto3.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed