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Red29
920014.7
1020014.5
960316.6
Blue31
946019.1
930212.2
96753.4
85%Model gave it15%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6537020801001202931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
Endgame+4
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
3Coral scored#5
11Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
15Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
2Foul points0
29Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9603
#38
16.63.0
19.216.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End2.0
blue by 2.5
9460
#34
19.10.7
16.716.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.7
End1.7
Second
9200
#40
14.73.0
16.813.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End2.1
red by 2.5
9302
#52
12.20.7
14.013.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End0.7
Third
14.53.0
17.714.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End1.5
red by 11.1
9675
#56
3.40.7
6.45.8
Auto2.6
Teleop0.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed