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Red102
888229.7
911017.2
948424.6
Blue55
745914.6
916216.0
916315.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8846020608010012014010255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+39Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +36
13Coral scored#6
48Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
76Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#2
3L3#2
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
102Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.6
32.232.7
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End4.0
red by 13.7
9162
#14
16.01.3
18.216.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End1.3
Second
24.60.6
22.423.0
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End2.7
red by 8.9
9163
#29
15.81.3
11.410.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Third
9110
#24
17.20.6
16.817.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End2.1
red by 2.6
7459
#28
14.61.3
13.211.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed