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Red102
961718.2
756736.2
960416.6
Blue95
948728.2
945931.9
917819.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5775204010012010295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +2
13Coral scored#14
47Coral points49
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#2
6Processor points18
20Net points8
26Algae points26
73Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
102Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.24.6
29.534.1
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End2.5
red by 4.3
9459
#10
31.92.3
27.830.1
Auto6.6
Teleop23.2
End2.0
Second
9617
#30
18.24.6
12.116.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.1
End1.4
blue by 10.0
9487
#15
28.22.3
21.724.0
Auto3.7
Teleop24.1
End0.3
Third
9604
#36
16.64.6
10.815.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.7
End1.1
blue by 2.6
9178
#17
19.22.3
16.118.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed