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Red74
917511.9
756340.4
17729.3
Blue47
916918.1
948524.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70510204060801001201407447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+23Teleop
+25Endgame
+27Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
10Coral scored#6
37Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
47Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
2Foul points0
74Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.8
37.838.7
Auto7.2
Teleop26.6
End6.6
red by 15.5
9485
#27
24.90.6
25.324.7
Auto2.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
Second
9175
#51
11.90.8
12.913.7
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End3.0
blue by 6.1
9169
#48
18.10.6
17.516.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End6.5
Third
1772
#59
9.30.8
10.811.6
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End2.1
red by 2.5
6.80.6
6.76.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned