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Red66
948614.1
703326.4
115632.5
Blue56
946123.6
908520.2
93059.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8655020401001201401606656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+22Teleop
+12Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
8Coral scored#7
29Coral points25
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
37Total teleop29
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points2
66Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#19
32.51.4
33.231.9
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End2.7
red by 9.0
9461
#25
23.60.5
21.621.1
Auto4.2
Teleop15.2
End4.1
Second
7033
#12
26.41.4
25.524.1
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End5.7
red by 6.2
9085
#43
20.20.5
19.819.3
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End1.8
Third
9486
#33
14.11.4
14.212.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End2.4
red by 4.4
9305
#53
9.70.5
10.810.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsEarned