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Red25
921919.1
80666.4
930212.2
Blue37
90489.3
904723.3
919513.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53490204060801001201402537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
3Coral scored#4
9Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
13Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
25Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9219
#18
19.12.2
23.120.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End1.2
blue by 4.2
9047
#11
23.30.7
18.818.1
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End0.6
Second
9302
#52
12.22.2
13.311.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End0.7
blue by 1.3
9195
#35
13.50.7
12.511.8
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End1.5
Third
8066
#32
6.42.2
8.56.3
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
blue by 2.9
9048
#57
9.30.7
11.811.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed