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Red88
580019.5
1034321.3
1046626.9
Blue76
90499.4
960316.6
888229.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667302040801001201408876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+4
+16Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +7
10Coral scored#10
37Coral points36
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#4
0Processor points0
8Net points16
8Algae points16
45Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#3
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#15
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
2Foul points6
88Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.91.8
24.626.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.5
End6.7
blue by 2.8
29.70.4
32.732.3
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End4.0
Second
21.31.8
15.116.9
Auto3.2
Teleop15.0
End3.0
red by 4.7
9603
#38
16.60.4
16.215.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End2.0
Third
5800
#20
19.51.8
17.919.7
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End3.0
red by 10.1
9049
#44
9.40.4
11.310.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed