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Red35
961112.0
916216.0
827610.9
Blue70
905020.9
186031.6
904615.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497502040601001201403570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+29
Endgame+37
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +23
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
18Total teleop41
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
2Foul points0
35Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9162
#14
16.01.0
16.915.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End1.3
blue by 15.7
31.61.1
24.926.0
Auto5.9
Teleop22.4
End3.3
Second
9611
#46
12.01.0
13.312.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
blue by 8.9
9050
#13
20.91.1
20.421.5
Auto3.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Third
8276
#54
10.91.0
12.111.1
Auto2.3
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 5.0
9046
#39
15.91.1
14.916.0
Auto3.8
Teleop9.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned