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Red98
756736.2
919513.5
1019019.1
Blue65
960416.6
948524.9
948614.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72552040801001209865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
60Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
18Foul points0
98Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.21.7
34.135.9
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End2.5
red by 11.2
9485
#27
24.91.2
24.726.0
Auto2.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
Second
19.11.7
17.419.1
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End1.6
red by 2.5
9604
#36
16.61.2
15.416.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.7
End1.1
Third
9195
#35
13.51.7
11.813.5
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End1.5
blue by 0.7
9486
#33
14.11.2
12.914.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed