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Red97
945931.9
961718.2
703326.4
Blue44
1034511.7
930212.2
921812.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions863102040601001201401609744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+37Teleop
+47Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
12Coral scored#6
43Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
61Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
6Foul points0
97Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9459
#10
31.91.5
30.131.6
Auto6.6
Teleop23.2
End2.0
red by 19.0
9218
#37
12.91.1
11.812.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Second
7033
#12
26.41.5
24.125.6
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End5.7
red by 14.3
9302
#52
12.21.1
11.112.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End0.7
Third
9617
#30
18.21.5
16.718.2
Auto3.7
Teleop13.1
End1.4
red by 6.5
11.71.1
10.611.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed