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Red35
580019.5
90489.3
916918.1
Blue119
919936.0
916315.8
946123.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53810204010012014016035119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+58
Endgame+60
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +47
2Coral scored#11
7Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
7Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
2Foul points26
35Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5800
#20
19.51.8
19.717.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End3.0
blue by 16.5
36.02.5
31.934.4
Auto10.0
Teleop22.3
End3.7
Second
9169
#48
18.11.8
16.915.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End6.5
blue by 5.5
9461
#25
23.62.5
21.123.6
Auto4.2
Teleop15.2
End4.1
Third
9048
#57
9.31.8
11.19.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End1.5
blue by 6.4
9163
#29
15.82.5
13.315.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned