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Red60
1035619.7
1020014.5
916413.4
Blue113
904723.3
948728.2
1034321.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526802040608010012014016060113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+55
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +62
6Coral scored#19
22Coral points70
2Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
12Processor points18
4Net points12
16Algae points30
38Total teleop100
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
60Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.3
19.419.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 8.4
9487
#15
28.24.4
24.028.3
Auto3.7
Teleop24.1
End0.3
Second
14.50.3
14.214.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End1.5
blue by 8.8
9047
#11
23.34.4
18.122.5
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End0.6
Third
9164
#50
13.40.3
13.113.4
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End1.9
blue by 7.9
21.34.4
16.921.3
Auto3.2
Teleop15.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed