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Red62
965712.0
745914.6
Blue43
906612.5
93059.7
90499.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384402060801001201406243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+15Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +12
6Coral scored#5
23Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
41Total teleop29
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#8
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
6Foul points6
62Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7459
#28
14.60.7
13.914.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End3.0
red by 2.1
9066
#47
12.51.4
14.012.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Second
9657
#26
12.00.7
11.312.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End2.0
red by 2.2
9305
#53
9.71.4
10.38.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.1
Third
6.80.7
6.26.8
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End2.1
blue by 2.6
9049
#44
9.41.4
10.99.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed