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Red49
96753.4
905020.9
948424.6
Blue32
640410.0
921919.1
917511.9
62%Model gave it38%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615202040801001204932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+15Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
4Coral scored#3
15Coral points11
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
29Total teleop21
Reef
3L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
49Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.5
26.225.7
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End2.7
red by 5.5
9219
#18
19.11.8
20.919.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End1.2
Second
9050
#13
20.90.5
21.520.9
Auto3.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
red by 9.0
9175
#51
11.91.8
13.711.9
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Third
9675
#56
3.40.5
3.93.4
Auto2.6
Teleop0.6
End0.2
blue by 6.6
6404
#58
10.01.8
11.810.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed