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Red65
916216.0
756340.4
80666.4
Blue40
827610.9
946019.1
90458.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions733802060801001206540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
6Coral scored#5
22Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
40Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
65Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.1
38.738.8
Auto7.2
Teleop26.6
End6.6
red by 21.3
9460
#34
19.10.1
19.219.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.7
End1.7
Second
9162
#14
16.00.1
15.816.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End1.3
red by 5.0
8276
#54
10.90.1
11.110.9
Auto2.3
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Third
8066
#32
6.40.1
6.36.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
blue by 1.8
9045
#55
8.20.1
8.38.2
Auto1.9
Teleop4.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed