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Red73
1046626.9
911017.2
908520.2
Blue82
916617.9
186031.6
920014.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7865020401001207382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+17
Endgame+11
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points15
16Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +15
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
45Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
2Foul points0
73Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.6
26.427.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.5
End6.7
blue by 4.8
31.62.7
26.028.7
Auto5.9
Teleop22.4
End3.3
Second
9085
#43
20.20.6
19.319.9
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End1.8
red by 2.3
9166
#16
17.92.7
15.217.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End3.0
Third
9110
#24
17.20.6
16.817.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End2.1
red by 2.5
9200
#40
14.72.7
12.114.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsMissed