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Red46
904615.9
96149.0
919513.5
Blue115
945834.6
756532.7
1001925.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3410205015020046115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+63
Endgame+71
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +56
6Coral scored#18
22Coral points64
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
26Total teleop82
Reef
3L4#10
3L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
2Foul points0
46Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9046
#39
15.90.1
16.015.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.8
End2.4
blue by 18.7
34.62.4
33.235.6
Auto6.5
Teleop25.4
End2.7
Second
9195
#35
13.50.1
13.513.5
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End1.5
blue by 19.3
32.72.4
30.733.1
Auto5.8
Teleop21.6
End5.2
Third
9614
#45
9.00.1
9.19.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End2.0
blue by 16.2
25.22.2
23.025.2
Auto4.6
Teleop19.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned