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Red90
919936.0
580019.5
756340.4
Blue58
905020.9
921919.1
1001925.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101670501509058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
0Leave3
8Coral scored#1
40Coral points6
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
40Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#2
6L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points0
90Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.2
38.838.6
Auto7.2
Teleop26.6
End6.6
red by 15.3
25.20.2
25.225.0
Auto4.6
Teleop19.2
End1.4
Second
36.00.2
34.434.1
Auto10.0
Teleop22.3
End3.7
red by 15.1
9050
#13
20.90.2
20.920.7
Auto3.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Third
5800
#20
19.50.2
17.917.7
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End3.0
red by 0.4
9219
#18
19.10.2
19.118.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End1.2