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Red70
756532.7
961112.0
888229.7
Blue81
945834.6
948424.6
948524.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83992040601201401601807081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+23
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +19
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
45Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
70Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.2
33.132.9
Auto5.8
Teleop21.6
End5.2
blue by 1.9
34.60.2
35.635.4
Auto6.5
Teleop25.4
End2.7
Second
29.70.2
30.029.9
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End4.0
red by 4.7
9485
#27
24.90.2
26.025.8
Auto2.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
Third
9611
#46
12.00.2
12.412.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
blue by 12.6
24.60.2
25.725.5
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End2.7