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Red120
115632.5
916918.1
186031.6
Blue77
703326.4
904723.3
93059.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80590204010012014012077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+39Teleop
+41Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +36
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
83Total teleop47
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +43
2Foul points0
120Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#19
32.51.4
29.631.0
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End2.7
red by 6.1
7033
#12
26.40.6
25.626.2
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End5.7
Second
31.61.4
28.730.1
Auto5.9
Teleop22.4
End3.3
red by 8.3
9047
#11
23.30.6
22.523.1
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End0.6
Third
9169
#48
18.11.4
15.116.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End6.5
red by 8.3
9305
#53
9.70.6
8.99.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.1