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Red118
919936.0
580019.5
756340.4
Blue98
945834.6
948424.6
948524.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969470809010011012013011898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+14Teleop
+24Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
14Coral scored#17
50Coral points62
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
18Processor points6
8Net points4
26Algae points10
76Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#7
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +20
2Foul points6
118Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.8
38.639.4
Auto7.2
Teleop26.6
End6.6
red by 5.8
34.60.2
35.435.6
Auto6.5
Teleop25.4
End2.7
Second
36.00.8
34.135.0
Auto10.0
Teleop22.3
End3.7
red by 11.0
9485
#27
24.90.2
25.826.0
Auto2.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
Third
5800
#20
19.50.8
17.718.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End3.0
blue by 5.1
24.60.2
25.525.6
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End2.7