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Red82
115632.5
916918.1
186031.6
Blue97
908520.2
756736.2
945931.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819240601001201408297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+29
Endgame+9
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +19
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
42Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points6
82Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#19
32.50.1
31.031.2
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End2.7
blue by 3.6
36.20.1
36.536.5
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End2.5
Second
31.60.1
30.130.3
Auto5.9
Teleop22.4
End3.3
blue by 0.2
9459
#10
31.90.1
32.232.2
Auto6.6
Teleop23.2
End2.0
Third
9169
#48
18.10.1
16.516.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End6.5
blue by 2.1
9085
#43
20.20.1
20.520.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End1.8