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Red83
945936.4
946120.9
920023.4
Blue78
908527.3
703330.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96700204060801201401608378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+15
Endgame+7
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +15
6Coral scored#12
23Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
41Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
12Foul points0
83Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.41.1
35.134.1
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End1.8
red by 6.0
7033
#14
30.41.1
27.128.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
Second
9200
#18
23.41.1
21.120.1
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End5.6
blue by 3.9
9085
#12
27.31.1
24.525.7
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End2.2
Third
9461
#16
20.91.1
26.024.9
Auto3.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
red by 12.7
8.21.7
11.413.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed