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Red136
115658.1
960213.3
186031.3
Blue60
1026324.1
177210.9
916821.7
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1024105015020013660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+60Teleop
+74Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
34Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +39
17Coral scored#10
60Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
84Total teleop45
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#3
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#14
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
2Foul points0
136Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.12.8
41.744.5
Auto16.3
Teleop33.5
End8.3
red by 34.0
24.10.7
15.816.5
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.0
Second
31.32.8
28.431.2
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End2.9
red by 9.7
9168
#15
21.70.7
17.518.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.8
End1.5
Third
9602
#25
13.34.2
18.222.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End0.8
red by 2.4
1772
#31
10.90.5
11.311.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed