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Red58
916923.3
745915.4
756742.0
Blue98
756349.6
917515.6
946025.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87896070758085951005898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+40
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +39
7Coral scored#15
25Coral points54
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
29Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#5
1L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
58Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.7
39.738.0
Auto12.8
Teleop27.2
End2.0
blue by 7.6
49.61.4
41.643.0
Auto9.7
Teleop32.4
End7.5
Second
9169
#13
23.31.7
23.822.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End7.6
blue by 2.6
25.81.4
20.922.3
Auto5.6
Teleop18.3
End1.9
Third
7459
#19
15.41.7
16.915.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End4.3
blue by 0.2
9175
#27
15.61.4
16.718.1
Auto2.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned