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Red122
1029526.4
945936.4
916821.7
Blue184
756349.6
115658.1
916923.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7212350100150200122184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+40
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +40
20Coral scored#27
72Coral points96
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
12Processor points12
8Net points24
20Algae points36
92Total teleop132
Reef
10L4#11
5L3#7
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#7
26Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
122Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.42.1
34.136.2
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End1.8
blue by 21.7
58.13.9
44.548.4
Auto16.3
Teleop33.5
End8.3
Second
26.43.5
21.024.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.7
End9.5
blue by 23.3
49.63.9
43.046.8
Auto9.7
Teleop32.4
End7.5
Third
9168
#15
21.73.5
18.221.7
Auto4.3
Teleop15.8
End1.5
blue by 1.6
9169
#13
23.33.9
22.226.0
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned